Landbay – 18 Month Results

18 Month Results

The results for lending through Landbay over the last 18 months are in and they are as follows –

Expected ROI (Annualised) 3.56%
Actual ROI (Annualised) 3.56%

The ‘Expected ROI’ is ratioed at just over half of the balance on an earlier 3.69% fixed rate and the later 3.49% fixed rate offering. As you can see Landbay delivers bang on expectation for the 2nd time in 3 reviews they’re nothing if not consistent. Other than that there’s not really a lot to say. Not the most exciting platform by any stretch and the rates are the rates, marginally better than a one year saver although at least you can build monthly compound with Landbay.

There’s a recalculation of LIBOR due in January (Landbay recalculate LIBOR on a 3 month average) so I would expect the tracker rate to increase slightly, it’s usually around LIBOR plus 2.50%. I can’t imagine it would go higher than the fixed rate right now though.

Company News

At the time of this review Landbay were approaching £250’000’000 in total mortgage lending since they started life in 2010. This is made up of approaching 900 mortgages, c50.00% of which are in London. Landbay has still maintained it’s nil default record to date, an accolade that is increasing rare in the wider P2P sector. There are some whispers of a further crowdfunding round in the offing although it has not yet been confirmed, if it goes ahead it will be Landbays 11th funding round.

Conclusion

Landbay is one of them fire and forget platforms that gets on with the job without fuss and just like a (non UK) train arrives on time every time. The price you pay for consistency and convenience is reflected in the lower end rate on offer compared to the wider P2P sector. So Landbay will remain in my portfolio as a relatively sound foundation to the riskier but higher potential reward platforms I lend through.

Referral link for Landbay

This link provides a referral bonus of £100 when a new customer signs up and invests £5000 using the link (T&C’s apply). The bonus is split £50 to the new customer and £50 to Proptechfish.com, any bonuses received by this blog go towards the cost of maintaining an advert free blog and will be warmly appreciated. 

Landbay – 12 Month Results

12 Month Results

The first year of investing through Landbay is up, and the results are as follows –

Expected ROI 3.68%
Actual ROI 3.28%

As you can see the the ‘expected ROI’ has dropped marginally. This is because most of the investment is in a fixed rate of 3.69% however this fund was closed a few months ago, with the the new fixed rate fund offering 3.49%, as the returns are reinvested in the new lower rate fund this is causing a downward pressure on returns.

What is less easy to explain is the increased deficit between ‘expected’ and ‘actual ROI’. It is true February is a shorter month which would have a marginal difference on the run rate of ROI at this time of year. The other factor that could be causing the gap to widen is a significant drop in demand. Now considering Landbay reserve the right to queue funds in times of exceptional demand for up to 6 weeks, something i witnessed early on in this fund (informed by a notification on the fund at the time) this is not something i have witnessed since. Along with this the time that monthly returns are queued for reinvestment seems to be increasing, sometimes as long as 2 weeks. This could be indicating a significant drop in demand for new investment.

Now the length of the queue for reinvestment should not have a negative impact on returns as Landbay is one of the few platforms that accrue returns on queued investments. Looking at the wider situation, Landbay is heavily London centric (55.01% Greater London) and average London house prices have fallen back 1.5 – 2% over the last 12 – 18 months , with predictions for 2018 seeing a further drop. This will no doubt cause some pressure on the Landbay portfolio but still does not fully explain the deficit. Fund roll up (first month not being a complete month) from my own strategy could also play a part, although this was not evident in the 6 month review. I have contacted Landbay for further clarification on the cause of the drop in return and will report back as soon as i have a response.

As mentioned previously, the latest fixed rate fund is now at a lower 3.49%, this fund is also now based on 25 year mortgages (as of January 2018) rather than previously 10 year mortgages. This is not necessarily a problem as Landbay do offer sell out early options (dependant on a buyer being available) but it does indicate Landbay seem to be seeking increased stability.

As for Landbay’s future within my portfolio, February 2018 has been the first month i have experienced an issue with the expected rate of return, of course i will look in to this further before drawing a definitive judgement. It has always been difficult to get excited by Landbay’s rate of returns (current 3% inflation) with not much more than 0.5% annual return in real terms. That said i still view Landbay as a foundation fund to a diversified portfolio, but it’s meagre returns are restricting me to keep Landbay as a  relatively minor player in the overall portfolio. One big plus for me staying with Landbay beyond the returns, is it’s substantial wealth of research on the UK property market, which has been invaluable in constructing pieces for this blog. Landbay’s place is safe in my portfolio for the time being.

Referral link for Landbay

This link provides a referral bonus of £100 when a new customer signs up and invests £5000 using the link (T&C’s apply). The bonus is split £50 to the new customer and £50 to Proptechfish.com, any bonuses received by this blog go towards the cost of maintaining an advert free blog and will be warmly appreciated. 

Landbay – 6 Month Results

6 Month Results

The results for the first half 2017, investing on the Landbay platform are as follows –

Expected ROI 3.69%
Actual ROI 3.69%

This platform does not allow you to manually invest in specific loans so there is no feedback available on defaults, rather you invest in to either a fixed rate fund (3.69% ROI) or a tracker rate (currently 3.03% ROI). The vast majority of my funds on this platform are on the fixed rate option and it’s delivered exactly as expected. This is because you can set interest to auto invest and where as with other platforms you still have to wait for a investment opportunity to become available, Landbay accrues the interest as soon as a balance is queued for investment, meaning there are no gaps in return maximisation.

Up until last month the variable rate option was 3.32% ROI, it’s now dropped 3.03% ROI. Now bare in mind current UK inflation rate is at 2.8%, so in real terms the rate is a merger 0.23% ROI which makes this option entirely an unattractive investment opportunity at this time. Considering Mark Carney of the Bank Of England has been giving strong indications in recent weeks, of a possible base rate rise from the record low of 0.25% it’s interesting Landbay have chosen to do this. One would think if a base rate rise happens in the next few weeks then the variable rate should go back up. Either way Landbay are cutting it very thinly for an investor to make any kind of return on the variable rate. It is worth mentioning though, over the last 6 months Landbay have had periods of very high demand, driven more by the lack savings options in the wider market, to the point where new investors were being queued for up to 6 weeks. So Landbay could just be attempting to control demand. For me the fixed rate combined with a slightly safer investment opportunity in Landbay is encouraging me to keep Landbay on for reasons of portfolio diversification, just. But if a spike in inflation happens in the future, wiping out my fixed rate gain, i’m going to struggle to justify keeping Landbay in my portfolio.

So to conclude, Landbay has done exactly what was promised in terms of return. The platform is generally considered a slightly safer option than other platforms, because of the buffer of auto diversification plus it operates a provision fund to protect from defaults in the short term. The platform itself in a nice looking, easy to use, straight forward interface. The only negative being, which is a significant one, the rates are very low compared to what else is currently available in the P2P marketplace. I shall consider Landbay very closely over the next 6 months before deciding whether it has a place in my portfolio.

Referral link for Landbay

This link provides a referral bonus of £100 when a new customer signs up and invests £5000 using the link (T&C’s apply). The bonus is split £50 to the new customer and £50 to Proptechfish.com, any bonuses received by this blog go towards the cost of maintaining an advert free blog and will be warmly appreciated.