1st half 2017
So the results are in for the first half of 2017 (financial year) of investing through the Lendy platform and the headlines are as follows ;
|No. Live loan parts||16|
|No. Loan parts with repayments overdue||6 (37.5%)|
As you can see the actual return on investment is significantly lower than the expected return on investment, there are a number reasons for this. Within days of starting this analysis Lendy decided to make a few changes. Firstly reverting back to its Lendy branding (formerly Saving Stream) , as well as this they announced that some of the new loans going forward would not offer the 12% ROI, I have seen some as low as 8% ROI. However this change should not affect my current investments as they are all 12%.
So one reason for the discrepancy comes down to my own strategy. In the name of testing the platform out, once I noticed some problematic loan parts that may be going in to default, I tried to sell on the secondary market. Unfortunately while the loan parts are awaiting a sale on the secondary market they cease to earn interest. The overdue loan parts were all on and off the secondary market over the first 3 months with all 6 being up for sale at the same time for a 3 week period. It was disappointing that not one of them came close to being sold. When selling loan parts they join the back of the queue and the closest I got to a sale was at the back of £30,000 queue, which had only progressed £2500 in 3 weeks, so by that rate it would have taken over 6 months to even get to the start of the queue. So i decided to pull the loan parts from sale. Either way i am not earning interest on these loan parts either because they are queued for sale or they in default/overdue not earning interest anyway.
Now I should clarify a few things, Lendy have updated their policy during this period, to paying interest on ‘queued for sale loan parts in the secondary market’ on request of the financial conduct authority (FCA) as part of the company’s maturing regulation compliance. However defaulting loans, logically still don’t pay interest, so doesn’t much help my situation and I will observe and report back how the new changes work out over the next period. Additionally as part of the compliance update you can no longer invest in over due/defaulting loans, some might say that should have been the case from the start but it’s a step in the right direction.
There has also been a potentially exiting development introduced in July called ‘Bonus Accrual‘. This could be seen as Lendy’s attempt to combat a seller biased secondary market place. Essentially you can earn up to extra 0.5% a month (6% PA based on a 12% investment) for holding on to your defaulting loans during the remaining tolerance period, paid once the loan is recovered. This is designed to assist developers close to completion get the job done sooner so the debts can be recovered from the sale of assets. Since this was launched a couple of months back i have continued to accrue this bonus interest on all 6 problematic investments but noting has been paid as these loans continue to be experiencing problems.
To conclude I would describe my experience in the 1st half of 2017, using the Lendy platform as mediocre. I love the look of the platform and the ease of use. However the liquidity of the secondary market could best be described as sluggish. The rate of defaults is stark but changes have been implemented to combat this. I do have concerns that the expected ROI is delivering to not even 40%, even by extrapolating the problematic 6 loan parts missing interest, and the playing about with the secondary market, there still seems to be a discrepancy of some 2-3% . However investments should always be viewed in the longer term so i will continue over the 2nd half of 2017 in a hope that this situation improves, but it’s been a rocky start to say the least.